The euro area bank lending survey – Fourth quarter of 2022
sectors of economic activity. Banks reported a net decrease in the demand for loans
or credit lines across all main economic sectors, while in energy-intensive
manufacturing there was a small increase in demand. Over the next six months, euro
area banks expect a more pronounced decline in net demand in the real estate and
construction sectors, while the decline is expected to be more moderate in
manufacturing, services and retail and wholesale trade.
Box 1
General notes
The bank lending survey (BLS) is addressed to senior loan officers at a representative sample of
euro area banks. In the current round, 151 banks were surveyed, representing all euro area
countries and reflecting the characteristics of their respective national banking structures. The main
purpose of the BLS is to enhance the Eurosystem’s knowledge of bank lending conditions in the
euro area.
2
BLS questionnaire
The BLS questionnaire contains 22 standard questions on past and expected future developments:
18 backward-looking questions and four forward-looking questions. In addition, it contains one
open-ended question. Those questions focus on developments in loans to euro area residents
(i.e. domestic and euro area cross-border loans) and distinguish between three loan categories:
loans or credit lines to enterprises; loans to households for house purchase; and consumer credit
and other lending to households. For all three categories, questions are asked about the credit
standards applied to the approval of loans, the terms and conditions of new loans, loan demand,
the factors affecting loan supply and demand conditions, and the percentage of loan applications
that are rejected. Survey questions are generally phrased in terms of changes over the past three
months or expected changes over the next three months. Survey participants are asked to indicate
in a qualitative way the strength of any tightening or easing or the strength of any decrease or
increase, reporting changes using the following five-point scale: (1) tightened/decreased
considerably, (2) tightened/decreased somewhat, (3) basically no change, (4) eased/increased
somewhat, or (5) eased/increased considerably.
In addition to the standard questions, the BLS questionnaire may contain ad hoc questions on
specific topics of interest. Whereas the standard questions cover a three-month time period, the ad
hoc questions tend to refer to changes over a longer time period (e.g. over the past and next six
months).
Aggregation of banks’ replies to national and euro area BLS results
The responses of the individual banks participating in the BLS are aggregated in two steps to form
the euro area results. In the first step, the responses of individual banks are aggregated to national
results for the euro area countries. In the second step, the national BLS results are aggregated to
euro area BLS results.
2
For more detailed information on the bank lending survey, see the article entitled “A bank lending
survey for the euro area”, Monthly Bulletin, ECB, April 2003; Köhler-Ulbrich, P. , Hempell, H. and
Scopel, S., “The euro area bank lending survey”, Occasional Paper Series, No 179, ECB, 2016; and
Burlon, L., Dimou, M., Drahonsky, A. and Köhler-Ulbrich, P., “What does the bank lending survey tell us
about credit conditions for euro area firms?”, Economic Bulletin, Issue 8, ECB, December 2019.