Study Methodology
This survey, funded by the Wall Street Journal, was conducted by NORC at the University of Chicago.
Staff from NORC at the University of Chicago and the Wall Street Journal collaborated on all aspects of
the study.
A sample of registered voters aged 18 or older was selected from NORC’s AmeriSpeak Panel for this
study. Survey respondents who confirmed they were currently registered to vote were considered
eligible to take the survey.
The sample for a specific study is selected from the AmeriSpeak Panel using sampling strata based on
age, race/Hispanic ethnicity, education, and gender (48 sampling strata in total). Sample selection takes
into account the expected differential survey completion rates across the sampling strata. The size of
the selected sample per stratum is determined such that the distribution of the complete surveys across
the strata matches that of the target population as represented by census data. If a panel household has
more than one active adult panel member, only one adult panel member is selected at random. When
panelists are selected for an AmeriSpeak survey, the selection process, within each sampling strata,
favors those who were not selected in the most recent previous AmeriSpeak survey. This selection
process is designed to minimize the number of surveys any one panelist is exposed to and maximize the
rotation of all panelists across AmeriSpeak surveys.
Interviews for this survey were conducted between October 19-24, 2023 with registered voters aged 18
and over representing the 50 states and the District of Columbia. Panel members were randomly drawn
from AmeriSpeak, and 1,163 completed the survey—1,136 via the web and 27 by telephone. Panel
members were invited by email or by phone from an NORC telephone interviewer. Interviews were
conducted in both English and Spanish, depending on respondent preference. Respondents were
offered a small monetary incentive for completing the survey. The final stage completion rate is 22.4
percent, the weighted household panel response rate is 21.5 percent, and the weighted household
panel retention rate is 78.9 percent, for a cumulative response rate of 3.8 percent. The overall margin of
sampling error is +/- 4.03 percentage points at the 95 percent confidence level, including the design
effect. The margin of sampling error may be higher for subgroups.
Sampling error is only one of many potential sources of error and there may be other unmeasured error
in this or any other survey.
Quality assurance checks were conducted to ensure data quality. In total, 36 interviews were removed
for nonresponse to at least 50% of the questions asked of them, for completing the survey in less than
one-third the median interview time for the full sample, or for straight-lining all grid questions asked of
them. An additional 29 cases were removed due to data issues that impacted skip logic. These
interviews were excluded from the data file prior to weighting.
Once the sample has been selected and fielded, and all the study data have been collected and made
final, a poststratification process is used to adjust for any survey nonresponse as well as any
noncoverage or under and oversampling resulting from the study specific sample design.
Poststratification variables included age, gender, census division, race/ethnicity, education, and 2020
presidential vote choice. Weighting variables were obtained from the 2023 Current Population Survey
and the 2020 certified election results. The weighted data reflect the U.S. population of adults age 18