Psychological
Review
1969, Vol.
76, No. 2,
179-193
STORAGE
AND
RETRIEVAL PROCESSES
IN
LONG-TERM
MEMORY
1
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
2
AND
R. C.
ATKINSON
Stanford
University
A
theory
of
human memory
is
described
in
which
a
distinction
is
made
between three memory
stores:
the
sensory register,
the
short-term store,
and
the
long-term store. Primary emphasis
is
given
to the
processes
by
which
information
is
stored
in and
retrieved
from
the
long-term
store,
a
store which
is
considered
to be a
permanent repository
for
information. Forgetting
and
related phenomena
are
attributed
to a
failure
of the
retrieval process,
in
which
the
search through some memory area becomes less
efficient
as new
information
is
placed
in it.
Storage
and
retrieval
in the
long-term store
are
conceived
of as
parallel processes,
one
mirroring
the
other,
and
each
is
divided
into three stages
for
conceptual clarity.
The
memory trace
is
viewed
as an
ensemble
of
information
stored
in
some memory location,
the
location
of
storage determined largely
by the
components
of the
ensemble
itself.
The
ability
of the
system
to
cope with diverse phenomena
is
demonstrated
by a
consideration
of a
number
of
selected
experimental
paradigms.
Theories
of
human long-term memory
have given primary emphasis either
to the
organization
of
that
memory,
in
terms
of the
dimensions
of
storage
and the
associations
between
the
stored
information
(e.g., Cofer,
1965;
Deese, 1966; Mandler, 1968; Osgood,
1963),
or to the
characteristics
of
temporal
decay
from
that memory
as in the
interfer-
ence
theories (e.g., Keppel, 1968; Melton,
1963; Postman,
1961;
Underwood,
1957).
The
processes
by
which information
is
stored
in, and
retrieved
from,
long-term
memory
have been relatively neglected.
An
example
of
this type
of
process
is the
memory search
during retrieval; during
the
search,
a
suc-
cession
of
memory codes
is
examined,
each
examination followed
by a
decision process
in
which
the
search
is
either terminated
or
continued,
and in
which
information
recov-
ered
is
either accepted
as
that desired
and
1
Preparation
of
this article
was
supported
by a
grant
from
the
National Aeronautics
and
Space
Administration,
and is an
outgrowth
of
ideas
first
developed
in two
earlier reports (Atkinson
&
Shif-
frin,
1968b;
Shiffrin,
1968).
This
paper,
in
combi-
nation
with papers
by
Atkinson
and
Shiffrin
(1965,
1968a), represents
an
attempt
to
formulate
a
gen-
eral schema within which
to
analyze memory
and
learning.
2
Now at
Indiana
University.
Requests
for
re-
prints should
be
sent
to
Richard
C.
Atkinson,
Institute
for
Mathematical Studies
in the
Social
Sciences, Ventura
Hall,
Stanford University,
Stan-
ford,
California 94305.
output,
or
rejected.
It is the
intention
of
this paper
to
elaborate
the
memory input
and
output
processes.
As
will
be
indicated
later,
our
view
of
storage
and
retrieval eliminates
the
necessity
for
assuming decay
of
informa-
tion
from
long-term memory.
It
will
be
assumed that long-term memory
is
perma-
nent;
decrements
in
performance over time
are
ascribed
to an
increasingly
ineffective
search
of the
stored information.
We
begin
by
describing
the
overall concep-
tion
of the
memory system.
The
system
follows
that described
in
Atkinson
and
Shif-
frin
(1965,
1968a),
and is
similar
to
those
proposed
by
'Feigenbaum
(1966)
and
Nor-
man
(1968).
The
major components
of
the
system
are
diagrammed
in
Figure
1:
the
sensory register,
the
short-term store (STS)
and
the
long-term store
(LTS).
The
solid
arrows
in the
diagram represent directions
in
which information
is
transferred
from
one
part
of the
system
to
another. Note that
transfer
is not
meant
to
imply
the
removal
of
information
from
one
store
and the
placing
of
it in the
next;
rather, transfer
is an
opera-
tion
in
which information
in one
store
is
"copied" into
the
next without
affecting
its
status
in the
original
store.
It
should
be
emphasized
that
our
hypotheses
about
the
various
memory stores
do not
require
any
assumptions
regarding
the
physiological
locus
of
these
stores;
the
system
is
equally con-
179
180
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
AND R. C.
ATKINSON
Stimulus
analyzer
programs
Activate
rehearsal
mechanism
Modify
information
flow
from
SR I
Code
and
transfer
information
fror
Initiate
or
modify
search
of LTS
Initiate
response
generator
.
STS
STS
li
FIG.
1. A flow
chart
of the
memory
system.
(Solid
lines
indicate
paths
of
information
trans-
fer.
Dashed lines indicate connections which permit comparison
of
information arrays residing
in
different
parts
of the
system; they also indicate paths along which control signals
may be
sent
which activate information transfer, rehearsal mechanisms, etc.)
sistent with
the
view that
the
stores
are
separate physiological
structures
as
with
the
view
that
the
short-term store
is
simply
a
temporary activation
of
information perma-
nently
stored
in the
long-term store.
The
control processes listed
in
Figure
1 are a
sample
of
those which
the
subject
(S) can
call
into play
at his
discretion, depending upon
such
factors
as the
task
and the
instructions.
Control processes govern informational
flow,
rehearsal,
memory search, output
of re-
sponses,
and so
forth.
The
sensory register
is a
very short-lived
memory
store which temporarily holds
in-
coming
sensory
information while
it is
being
initially
processed
and
transferred
to the
short-term store.
In the
visual modality,
for
example,
information
will
decay
from
the
sensory register
in a
period
of
several hun-
dred milliseconds
(Sperling,
1960).
Infor-
mation
in the
short-term store,
if not
attended
to by S,
will
decay
and be
lost
in a
period
of
about
30
seconds
or
less,
but
control proc-
esses such
as
rehearsal
can
maintain informa-
tion
in STS for as
long
as S
desires (the
buffer
process
in
Figure
1 is one
highly
organized rehearsal scheme).
While
infor-
mation resides
in
STS, portions
of it are
transferred
to
LTS.
The
long-term
store
is
assumed
to be a
permanent repository
of
information;
we
realize that factors such
as
traumatic
brain damage, lesions,
and de-
terioration with extreme
age
must lead
to
memory loss,
but
such
effects
should
be
negligible
in the
types
of
experiments con-
sidered
in
this paper.
Thus
it is
hypothe-
sized
that information, once stored
in
LTS,
is
never thereafter destroyed
or
eliminated.
Nevertheless,
the
ability
to
retrieve informa-
tion
from
LTS
varies considerably with time
and
interfering
material.
The
short-term
store
serves
a
number
of
useful
functions.
On the one
hand
it de-
couples
the
memory system
from
the
external
environment
and
relieves
the
system
from
the
responsibility
of
moment-to-moment
at-
tention
to
environmental changes.
On the
other hand,
STS
provides
a
working memory
in
which manipulations
of
information
may
take place
on a
temporary basis. Because
STS is a
memory store
in
which information
can be
maintained
if
desired,
it is
often
used
as the
primary memory device
in
certain
types
of
tasks;
in
these tasks
the
information
PROCESSES
IN
LONG-TERM
MEMORY
181
presented
for
retention
is
maintained
in STS
until
the
moment
of
test
and
then emitted.
Tasks
in
which
STS is
utilized
for
this pur-
pose,
and the
mechanisms
and
control proc-
esses that
may
come into play, have been
examined extensively
in
Atkinson
and
Shif-
frin
(1968a).
In
this report
we are
pri-
marily
interested
in STS as a
temporary
store
in
which information
is
manipulated
for
the
purposes
of
storage
and
retrieval
from
LTS, rather than
as a
store
in
which
infor-
mation
is
maintained until
test.
In the re-
mainder
of
this paper, discussion
is
limited
to
that component
of
memory performance
which involves
LTS
retrieval,
and the
com-
ponents
arising
from
STS and the
sensory
register
will
not be
considered.
LONG-TERM
STORE
In
describing
the
structure
of
LTS,
an
analogy with computer memories
is
helpful.
The
usual computer memory
is
"location
addressable";
if the
system
is
given
a
certain
location
it
will
return
with
the
contents
of
that location. When given
the
contents
of
a
word
(a
"word"
refers
to a
single com-
puter memory
location),
such
a
system must
be
programmed
to
examine each location
in
turn
in
order
to find the
possible locations
of
these contents
in the
memory.
It
seems
untenable that
an
exhaustive serial search
is
made
of all of LTS
whenever retrieval
is
desired.
An
alternative type
of
memory
may be
termed
"content-addressable";
if the
system
is
given
the
contents
of a
word
it
will
return with
the
locations
in
memory
containing those contents.
One way in
which
such
a
memory
may be
constructed utilizes
a
parallel search through
all
memory loca-
tions;
the
system then returns with
the
locations
of all
matches.
If
this view
is
adopted, however,
an
additional process
is
needed
to
select
the
desired location from
among
the
many returned
by the
parallel
search.
Thus,
if we
feed
the
system
the
word
"red,"
it
would
not be
useful
for the
system
to
return with
all
references
or
locations
of
"red";
there
are
simply
too
many
and the
original
retrieval
problem would
not be
sig-
nificantly
reduced
in
scale. There
is,
how-
ever,
an
alternative method
for
forming
a
content-addressable
memory;
in
this
method,
the
contents
to be
located themselves contain
the
information necessary
to
specify
the
stor-
age
location(s).
This
can
occur
if the in-
formation
is
originally stored
in
locations
specified
by
some master plan dependent
upon
the
contents
of the
information. Such
a
system
will
be
termed "self-addressing."
A
self-addressing memory
may be
compared
with
a
library shelving system which
is
based
upon
the
contents
of the
books.
For
example,
a
book
on
"caulking methods used
for
12th
century
Egyptian
rivercraft"
will
be
placed
in
a
specific
library location
(in the
Egyptian
room,
etc.).
If a
user desires
this
book,
it
may
be
located
by
following
the
same
shelv-
ing
plan used
to
store
it in the first
place.
We
propose that
LTS is to a
large degree
just such
a
self-addressable
memory.
An
ensemble
of
information
presented
to the
memory
system
will
define
a
number
of
memory
areas
in
which that information
is
likely
to be
stored;
the
memory search will
therefore
have certain natural starting points.
The
system
is
assumed
to be
only partially
self-addressing
in
that
the
degree
to
which
the
storage locations
are
specified
will vary
from
one
ensemble
to the
next
and one mo-
ment
to the
next,
in
much
the way as
pro-
posed
in
stimulus sampling theory
(Estes,
1959).
Thus
it may be
necessary
to
embark
upon
a
memory search within
the
specified
locations,
a
search which
may
proceed seri-
ally
from
one
location
to the
next.
This
conception
of LTS
leads
to a
number
of
pre-
dictions.
For
example,
a
recognition test
of
memory
will
not
proceed
via
exhaustive scan-
ning
of all
stored codes,
nor
will
a
recognition
test eliminate
in all
cases
the
necessity
for an
LTS
search.
If
information
is
presented
and
S
must indicate whether
this
information
has
been
presented previously, then
the
likely
storage
location
(s) is
queried.
To the de-
gree
that
the
information
has
highly
salient
characteristics which precisely
identify
the
storage location,
the
extent
of the LTS
search
will
be
reduced.
Thus,
for
items with highly
salient
characteristics,
6"
should
be
able
to
identify
quickly
and
accurately whether
the
item
was
presented previously,
and the
iden-
tification
might
not
require
a
memory search
which
interrogates more than
a
single storage
location.
The
less
well-specified
the
storage
182
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
AND R. C.
ATKINSON
location,
the
greater
the
memory search
needed
to
make
an
accurate recognition
re-
sponse.
This
view
is in
many respects simi-
lar to
that proposed
by
Martin
(1967),
in
which
he
suggests
that
certain stimuli tend
to
give
rise
to
identical encoding responses
from
one
instance
to the
next,
that
is, on
both
study
and
test trials.
From
the
present
viewpoint
"identical encoding responses"
is
taken
to be
equivalent
to
identical storage
locations.
Although
it is
assumed
that
information
ensembles
are
sorted into
LTS
locations
ac-
cording
to a
master plan,
it is
beyond
the
scope
of
this paper
to
attempt
to
outline this
organizational
structure;
other workers have
been
dealing with this problem (e.g.,
Han-
dler,
1968;
Pollio,
1966).
Undoubtedly this
organization
is
highly complex,
but the
form
of
the
organization will
not be
crucial
to our
discussions
of
input
and
output mechanisms.
There
is one
dimension
of
organization
that
must
be
mentioned here,
however;
this
is the
"temporal"
dimension.
We are
assuming
that this dimension
is
like
the
other organi-
zational
dimensions
in
that information
may
be
stored along
it, and
that retrieval
may be
based upon
it. In the
remaining sections
of
this paper,
the
temporal dimension
will
often
be
singled
out for
special mention,
not be-
cause
it
differs
in
substance
from
other
organizational dimensions,
but
because
it is
virtually
impossible
to
eliminate
it as a
sys-
tematic variable
in
most memory
experi-
ments.
The
term
"location"
is
used
in
relation
to
the
organizational
schema;
an LTS
location
is
defined
by the
place
in the
organizational
structure occupied
by an
information
en-
semble.
The
location will
be
defined
in
terms
of
the
modality
of the
information
(e.g.,
visual versus
auditory),
the
level
of
analysis,
(e.g.,
spelling versus syntactic
structure),
and all
other
dimensions
of
organization
that
may
be
relevant.
Two
locations will
be
said
to be
"close"
if the
information
in
them tends
to be
retrieved together.
In
particular,
we
shall
refer
to a
code,
or an
image,
as an
ensemble
of
information
that
is
closely related
and
very
likely
to be
retrieved together.
We
do not
wish
to
imply that there
is
some uni-
tary atom
of
storage called
a
code
or an
image.
The
information making
up a
code
in
one
task
may be
considered
to be
several
codes
in a
different
task.
'For
example,
an
entire sentence
may be
considered
a
code
if
we
are
comparing
the
meaning
of
that sen-
tence
with
others;
however,
the
same sen-
tence
might
be
considered
to be
made
up of
a
series
of
codes
if we are
comparing
it
with
sentences
of the
same meaning
but
different
grammatical
form.
Nevertheless,
for
most
tasks
the
concept
of a
code
or
image
as
rep-
resenting
a
cohesive array
of
information
in
a
single storage location proves
useful.
This
view
of the
memory trace
is
consistent with
the
analysis given
by
Bower
(1967).
In his
model,
a
trace,
or
image,
is
represented
by a
vector
of
attributes which serves
to
identify
both
the
information contained
in the
trace
and the
location
of the
trace
in
LTS.
The
values
of the
attributes
in the
vector serve
to
indicate
the
position
of the
trace
on the
vari-
ous
organizational
dimensions;
for
example,
one
of the
positions
in the
vector might indi-
cate whether
the
trace
is
auditory
or
visual.
It
should
be
apparent that this quantitative
view
is
compatible with
our
description
of
an
image
or
code,
and
also with
the
descrip-
tion
of LTS as a
self-addressable store.
STORAGE
AND
RETRIEVAL
Since
LTS is
self-addressing, storage
and
retrieval have many features
in
common,
one
process
mirroring
the
other.
Storage
is
assumed
to
consist
of
three primary mecha-
nisms:
transfer,
placement,
and
image-pro-
duction.
The
transfer mechanism includes
those control processes
by
which
5"
decides
what
to
store, when
to
store,
and how to
store
information
in
LTS.
The
placement mecha-
nism
determines
the
locations
in
which
the
ensemble
of
information
under consideration
will
be
stored.
To a
large degree,
the
com-
ponents
of the
ensemble itself
will
determine
the
location
of
storage.
That
is, in the
action
of
encoding
the
desired information
for
stor-
age,
5"
may
supplement
the
information
cur-
rently
in STS
with pertinent
information
retrieved
from
LTS;
the
resultant ensemble
in
STS
determines
the
storage location.
The
image-production
mechanism
determines
what proportion
of the
current ensemble
of
information
in STS
will
be
placed
in the
PROCESSES
IN
LONG-TERM
MEMORY
183
designated
LTS
location(s).
The
propor-
tion stored should
be a
function
of the
dura-
tion
of the
period that
the
ensemble
is
main-
tained
in
STS. Retrieval, like storage,
is
assumed
to
consist
of
three primary mecha-
nisms
:
search, recovery,
and
response gen-
eration.
The
search process
is a
recursive
loop
in
which locations
or
images
are
suc-
cessively selected
for
examination.
As
each
image
is
examined,
the
recovery process
de-
termines
how
much
information
will
be
recovered
from
the
image
and
placed
in
STS.
The
response generation process then exam-
ines
the
recovered information
and
decides
whether
to
continue
the
search
or
terminate
and
emit
a
response.
If the
search does
not
terminate,
the
selection
of the
next
location
or
image
for
examination
may
depend upon
information
already uncovered during
the
search.
Although storage
and
retrieval
are
treated
separately
in
this paper,
we do not
wish
to
imply that these processes
are
separated
in
time,
one
following
the
other. Rather, long-
term storage
is
continually occurring
for the
information
residing
in
short-term store.
In
addition, retrieval
is
continually occurring
during
storage
attempts
by S; for
example,
5*
may try to
store
a
paired-associate
by
searching
LTS for
prominent associations
to
the
stimulus, associations which could then
be
used
as
mediators.
The
remaining portions
of
this report will
be
directed toward
a
delineation
of
these
in-
put
and
output processes.
It is
beyond
the
scope
of
this paper
to do
more than
briefly
describe
the
major
mechanisms
of the
theory.
Nevertheless,
an
attempt will
be
made
to
indicate
how
these processes work, what evi-
dence supports
our
assumptions, what pre-
dictions
may be
derived,
and how the
theory
may be
applied
to a
number
of
selected
tasks.
Storage Processes
Transfer.
The
decisions involving what
to
store, when
to
store,
and how to
store infor-
mation
are
under
a
high degree
of
control
by
S, and
therefore
can
result
in
striking per-
formance
changes
from
one
task
to
another.
Although
we
shall
be
discussing experimental
situations
in
which
storage takes place largely
during designated study periods,
we
should
note that
storage
in
general occurs whenever
information
is
cycled through
the
short-term
store;
for
example,
in
reflective thinking,
in
daydreaming,
and in
moment-to-moment
consideration
of the
day's
happenings.
The
decision concerning when
to
store
information
is
especially important
in
situa-
tions where
a
large amount
of
information
is
being input rapidly
to
STS. Such
a
situa-
tion
taxes
the
capacity
of the
system
and
forces
5"
to
select
a
subset
of the
presented
information
for
special attention
and
coding.
There
are a
number
of
factors
that
determine
the
information
so
selected. Important
or
easily
stored
information
is
likely
to be
given
preference.
For
example,
Harley
(1965)
has
shown
in a
mixed-list
design
that
paired-
associate items given high monetary
payoffs
are
selectively attended
in
preference
to
items
given
low
payoffs.
Information selection will
also
be
governed
by the
degree
to
which
the
incoming
material
is
already known.
For
example, there
is
considerable evidence that
5s
tend
to
store more
information
on a
given
item
if
that
item's
presentation
is
fol-
lowed
by
other items that
are
well-known
as
opposed
to
being
followed
by
items that
are
not
known (Atkinson,
Brelsford,
&
Shiffrin,
1967;
Thompson,
1967).
Finally, note that
the
decision when
to
store
may be
determined
by
strategies
associated
with
the
list
or
task
as a
whole, rather than with
the
individual
item.
For
example,
in an
experiment
em-
ploying
a
paired-associate list with only
the
two
responses
A and B, S
might decide
to
store only
information
about those stimuli
paired with Response
A, and
always guess
Response
B if the
answer
is not
known
at
test.
The
decisions concerning
how to
store
in-
formation
will
also
affect
performance:
stor-
age via
visual images
may be
more
effective
than auditory storage
(Schnorr
&
Atkinson,
1969);
overt
and
covert rehearsal methods
may
result
in
very
different
effects
(Brels-
ford
&
Atkinson,
1968);
and
mediating ver-
sus
nonmediating instructions
may
give rise
to
considerable performance
differences
(Runquist
&
Farley,
1964).
On a
somewhat
different
level,
5"
may
engage
in
organiza-
tional
storage strategies such that
different
items
are
stored
in
locations determined
by
184
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
AND R. C.
ATKINSON
some
fixed
organizational framework
(Tul-
ving,
1962).
What
information
is
stored, given
the
presentation
of a
particular information
en-
semble,
will also
be
highly dependent upon
the
control
processes
utilized
by S. In
some
cases,
as
Underwood
(1963)
points
out in
making
a
distinction between
the
nominal
and
functional
stimulus,
not all the
informa-
tion
contained
in the
presented item
is
neces-
sary
for
correct responding (e.g.,
if the
stimuli
are all
nonsense syllables
differing
only
in the first
letter, then only
the first
letters
need
be
stored).
In
these
cases
only
the
relevant characteristics
of the
input need
be
stored.
In
most cases
S
will select
relevant characteristics
of the
presented
in-
formation
and add to
this additional coding
information
from
LTS;
for
example,
a
paired-associate
plus
a
mediator might
be
stored
in
many cases.
One
type
of
informa-
tion
which
S
often
attempts
to
store
is in-
formation
indicating that
a
particular
re-
sponse (usually
one
just given
in
error)
is
not
correct;
Millward
(1964)
has
examined
evidence
for
this process
in
simple paired-
associate
tasks.
This
process
of
tagging
responses
as
incorrect
is
particularly impor-
tant
in
studies
of
negative transfer;
the
higher
the
probability that
the first
response
assigned
to a
stimulus
will
be
tagged
as in-
correct (when
the
response
changes),
the
less will
be the
proactive interference
effect
observed
in the
data
(Shiffrin,
1968).
The
examples
of
transfer mechanisms
given
above
are by no
means exhaustive,
but
they
serve
to
indicate
the
pervasiveness
and
importance
of
these processes. Relatively
simple
decisions
to
select
one
transfer scheme
rather than another
can and do
lead
to
large
performance
effects.
These
facts
emphasize
the
need
for
carefully
establishing
the
trans-
fer
mechanisms used before extending analy-
sis to
other aspects
of the
data.
Placement.
The
location
in
which
an
image
will
be
stored
is
determined
by the
contents
of
that
image;
5"
therefore controls
the
storage location
by
manipulating
the
information
complex
in
STS.
For any
given
ensemble
of
information, however, there
is
a
certain amount
of
randomness
in
placement.
For
this
reason,
a
search
for an
image
may
have
to be
undertaken
at
test
even
if the
entire
information ensemble originally
pres-
ent
in STS
during study
is
presented
for
consideration.
Information
to be
remem-
bered
may be
stored
in
images
in
more than
one
location;
for
example,
a
paired-associate
may be
encoded
by the use of two
entirely
different
mnemonics. This notion
has
been
given
quantitative
form
in
"multiple-copy"
models
for the
memory trace (Atkinson
&
Shiffrin,
1965).
The
primary mechanism determining
stor-
age
location
is in all
cases
an
organizational
framework.
The
self-addressing character-
istic
of
input information depends upon
the
prior, already established,
LTS
organization;
each
item
is
sent
to
locations that depend
upon
the
preexisting organizational
frame-
work. However,
in
many
cases
(especially
situations
involving free-recall learning
and
paired-associate learning
in
which
the
same
list
of
items
is
presented over
a
series
of
trials)
it is an
effective
technique
for
5
1
to
form
new
organizational structures.
In
free-
recall learning,
for
example, output
on
suc-
cessive
trials becomes increasingly organized
and
similar
to
output
on the
preceding trial
(Gofer,
1965;
Tulving,
1962);
it may be
inferred
that
a
consistent
new
organization
has
been imposed upon
a set of
words which
were
disorganized
at the
start
of
learning.
This
point regarding growth
of
organization
is
especially important with regard
to
list-
structured paired-associate tasks,
that
is, a
task
in
which
a
list
of
paired-associates
is
presented over
and
over
on
successive trials
(possibly
in a new
random order
from
trial
to
trial).
In
such
a
task, organizational
effects
between items will tend
to
occur over trials,
and
care must
be
taken
in
inferring that
effects
seen
by
averaging data over
all
items
in
the
list will also apply
to the
individual
items.
For
example, there
is
evidence indi-
cating
that interference
effects
found
by
averaging over items
in a
list
do not
apply
to the
individual items making
up the
list
(DaPolito, 1966; Greeno,
1967).
For
this
reason
we
shall
often
consider
in the
rest
of
this
paper
results
from
what
is
termed
a
"continuous"
paired-associate task (Bjork,
1966;
Brelsford,
Shiffrin,
&
Atkinson,
1968;
Rumelhart,
1967).
This
type
of
task
em-
PROCESSES
IN
LONG-TERM MEMORY
185
ploys
a
long series
of
presentations, each
involving
first a
test
and
then
a
study
on a
paired-associate item.
The
character
of the
experiment
is
essentially
homogeneous over
time
because
new
items
are
continually being
introduced
and old
items
deleted;
a new
item
may
appear
at any
point
in the
sequence,
receive
a fixed
number
of
presentations dis-
tributed over
a
subset
of
trials,
and
then
be
dropped
and
replaced
by yet
another item.
In
this
way the
list-structure feature
of the
typical paired-associate experiment
is
elimi-
nated,
and it is
extremely
difficult
for
-5"
to
develop
special schemes
for
interitem organi-
zation.
In
most cases,
5"'s
placement strategy
in-
volves choosing
one of
many preexisting
or-
ganizational dimensions
for
storage.
In
these cases,
an
organizational clue contained
in
the
experimental design
may
prove
useful.
In
categorized free-recall,
for
example,
5"
will
be
induced
to
store
(and retrieve)
in the
given categories
(Bousfield
&
Cohen,
1956;
Cofer,
1965;
Cohen,
1963).
Thus
the
loca-
tion
in
which
the
word division will
be
stored
will
be
quite
different
if
preceded
by
multi-
plication, addition,
and
subtraction than
if
preceded
by
platoon,
regiment,
and
battalion,
In the
interests
of
effective memory,
the
most important requirement
of the
placement
process
is
that
it
results
in a
storage location
which
will later
be
searched during test.
If
organizational
schemes
are
used
for
place-
ment,
the
schemes themselves
will
have
to be
stored,
recovered,
and
utilized
in
order
for
retrieval
to be
optimal.
Image-production. When
an
ensemble
of
information
is
present
in
STS, some portion
of
it
will
be
stored
in a
designated location
in
LTS as a
permanent image.
The
propor-
tion
of
information that
is
stored will
be a
function
of the
duration
of
time
that
the
ensemble stays
in
STS,
or of the
number
of
times
that
ensemble
is
cycled through STS.
It
would
be
most natural
to
look
for
evidence
of
this mechanism
in
experiments varying
study
time
for
particular items. However,
improved
performance with longer study
times
can be
attributed
to a
higher chance
of
finding a
good mnemonic. Better evidence
is
found
in
experiments
in
which
5"s
are in-
duced
to
utilize rote rehearsal rather than
coding,
and in
which longer periods
of
rote
verbal rehearsal lead
to
improved perform-
ance
(Brelsford
&
Atkinson, 1968; Hellyer,
1962).
To
conclude
the
discussion
of
storage,
we
consider
the
content
of the
image:
the
range
and
form
of the
stored information.
A
single image
may
contain
a
wide variety
of
information,
including characteristics
of the
item presented
for
study (its sound, meaning,
color,
size,
shape, position, etc.)
and
char-
acteristics added
by S
(such
as
codes, mne-
monics,
mediators, images, associations,
etc.).
In
addition,
an
image usually
will
contain
links
to
other images
(other
information
which
was in the
short-term
store
at the
same
time)
;
these links
can be
regarded
as a set
of
directions
to the
locations
of
related
im-
ages
in
LTS.
Retrieval
Processes
The
retrieval mechanism forms
the
crux
of
the
present theory, since
it
enables
a
per-
manent
long-term store
to
exhibit
the
char-
acteristics
of a
failing memory.
The
basic
mechanism
by
which memory loss occurs
involves
a
partially random search through
an
increasingly large
set of
images
in
some
local
set of
memory
locations.
This
local
area
may be
defined
by one or
more dimen-
sions
in the
organizational structure
of
LTS;
as the
number
of
images
in the
local area
increases,
the
search
for the
desired informa-
tion
will
become increasingly
ineffective.
For
example,
consider
two
areas,
one
con-
sisting
of
three images,
the
other consisting
of
10
images,
and
both containing
the
desired
code.
A
random search through
the
smaller
set
will result
in
successful retrieval
in a
shorter period
of
time than
a
search through
the
larger
set.
The
retrieval process begins with
the
pre-
sentation
of an
information complex which
places constraints
on the
response desired
and
also provides
a
number
of
clues,
or
delimiting
information, concerning
that
de-
sired
output (i.e.,
a
stimulus).
On the
basis
of
this presented information,
or as the
result
of
an
external search strategy,
5"
is led to
look
in
some local memory
area
and
select
(possibly randomly)
an
image
for
examina-
tion.
The
process
by
which information
is
186
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
AND R. C.
ATKINSON
recovered
from
this image
is
called
recovery.
The
recovered information will
be
placed
in
the
short-term
store
which
may
also contain
other information such
as the
search
strategy
being employed, salient information recov-
ered previously
in the
search,
the LTS
loca-
tions
that
have been examined already,
and
some
of the
links
to
other images
that
have
been
examined already,
and
some
of the
links
to
other images that
have
been noted
in the
search
but not yet
examined.
The
short-
term
store
thus
acts
as a
"window"
upon
LTS, allowing
5"
to
deal sequentially with
a
manageable amount
of
information.
The
cur-
rent
contents
of STS are now
examined
and
various decisions made concerning whether
the
desired response
has
been
found,
whether
to
emit
it,
whether
to
terminate
the
search
unsuccessfully,
or
whether
to
continue
the
search.
These
decisions
and the
generation
of
the
response
are
called
the
response-gen-
eration
process.
If a
decision
is
made
to
continue
the
search, then
a new
location
is
selected either randomly,
on the
basis
of
information
just recovered,
or in
accord with
an
overriding external search strategy.
The
process which continues cycling
in
this man-
ner
until termination
is
called
the
search
process.
Search.
Each
cycle
in the
search recursion
begins
with
a
mechanism which locates
the
next image
for
examination.
This
mecha-
nism
may be
separated into directed
and
ran-
dom
components.
The
directed component
includes
strategies
controlled
by S and de-
pends upon
the
input information
and the
self-addressing
nature
of the
system.
As a
result
of the
directed component,
a
number
of
locations
in
some area
of
memory
are
marked
for
examination.
The
locations
and
images
so
marked will
be
referred
to as the
exami-
nation subset,
and the
directed component
of
the
search
may be
characterized
by the
proba-
bility
that
the
sought-after code
is in the
examination subset.
The
directed component
of the
search
can
be
either under
a
high degree
of
5
1
control
or
relatively automatic.
For
example,
the
control
factor
is
high
in a
situation where
5"
engages
in a first-letter
alphabetic search,
or
where
5"
attempts
to
remember lunch
of
2
days previously
by
reconstructing
the
events
of
that day.
In
cases like this,
the
search assumes many
of the
aspects
of
prob-
lem
solving.
At the
other
extreme
is the
almost completely automatic direction
of
search which occurs, say,
in the
attempted
recognition
of a
word
as
having been pre-
sented earlier
in the
session.
In
such
a
case,
the
word
itself
serves
to
direct
the
search
via the
self-addressing
feature
of the
system.
In its
most general
form
the
search process
can
be
viewed
as a
series
of
stages
in
which
searches
are
made successively
in
different
examination subsets.
That
is,
after
choosing
codes randomly
for a
time
from
one
subset,
information
recovered during
the
search
may
cause
5"
to
change
the
memory area currently
being examined
for one
quite
different.
This
type
of
search
could occur,
for
example,
in
a
categorized
free-recall
task,
in
which
the
various categories
are
searched successively
(Cohen,
1963).
In
most applications, how-
ever,
a
restricted search model should
be
ade-
quate,
the
restriction allowing only
a
single
examination subset
to be
searched during
any
retrieval period.
This
model should
be
particularly applicable
to
tasks
in
which only
a
short response period
is
allowed.
The
random component
of the
search
specifies
the
selection
of
codes
in the
exami-
nation subset
from
one
cycle
of the
search
to
the
next.
It is
assumed that
the
likelihood
of
any
particular code being selected
at
some
point
will
depend upon
the
amount
of
infor-
mation contained
in it, as
well
as the
total
number
of
codes
and
their temporal ordering
in
the
examination subset.
It
will
be
seen
that
the
extent
to
which
the
search depends
upon
the
temporal ordering
of the
items
is
an
important variable which, among other
things,
determines interference
effects.
The
division
of
search into directed
and
random
components leads
to
somewhat dif-
ferent
memory models, depending upon
which
component
is
selected
for
elaboration.
Feigenbaum
(1966)
and
Hintzman
(1968),
for
example, have elaborated upon
the di-
rected component
in
computer simulation
models.
In
these
formulations
there
is a
mechanism
termed
a
"discrimination net,"
which
enables
S to
sort through
the
organi-
zational
structure
of LTS to
reach
the
local
memory
area where desired information
is
PROCESSES
IN
LONG-TERM
MEMORY
187
stored.
On the
other hand, there
are
models
which emphasize
the
probabilistic
search
through
an
examination subset
of
items
in
some memory area (Atkinson
&
Shiffrin,
1965).
It is
upon this latter type
of
model
that attention will
be
focused
in
this paper.
Recovery.
Once
an
image
has
been
lo-
cated,
it is
appropriate
to ask
what informa-
tion contained
in the
image will
be
entered
into
the
short-term
store.
This
process
is
called
recovery.
The
amount
of
information
recovered
from
an
image
is
assumed
to be
probabilistic, depending upon
the
current
noise level
in the
system
and the
amount
of
information
in the
image.
In
particular,
the
amount
of
information
recovered should
be
an
increasing
function
of the
amount
of in-
formation
in the
image.
Response generation. Having recovered
information
from
LTS,
5"
is
faced
with deci-
sions
as to
whether
to
terminate
the
search
and
respond
or to
continue
to
search. These
decisions must
first of all
depend upon
the
consistency
of the
recovered information with
that
indicated
by the
test information.
In-
consistent
information
can be
ruled
out at
once.
If
information
consistent with
the
test
stimulus
is
found,
and a
recognition response
is
desired, then
the
response will
be
given
when
temporal
or
contextual information
is
recovered
indicating that
the
image
was
stored recently.
In a
paired-associate
test,
three
types
of
information
may be
recovered:
that
associated with
the
stimulus,
that
asso-
ciated with
the
response,
or
associative
in-
formation
linking
the
two. Recovery
of
stimulus
or
response
information will
serve
to
lead
to
recognition
of
either;
if
both
are
recovered
in
nearby locations
in
memory,
then
the
response
may be
emitted.
On the
other hand,
a
response might
be
output fol-
lowing recovery
of
associative information
linking
the
response
to the
stimulus. Since
the
ability
to
output
a
response depends upon
the
amount
of
response
information
recov-
ered,
the
process
may
often
be
represented
by
a
decision-theoretic model
in
which
S is at-
tempting
to filter
information through
a
noisy
background
(Bernbach,
1967;
Kintsch,
1967;
Wickelgren
&
Norman,
1966).
In
situations
where
a
long time period exists
for
respond-
ing,
a
likely response
may be
recovered
but
not
emitted;
in
these cases
the
search will
be
continued
in the
hope
of finding a
better
response.
An
extended
search
of
this kind
leads
naturally
to
predictions that
5"
will
be
able
to
rank responses
in the
order
of
their
probability
of
being correct, with responses
ranked after
the first
being
correct
at an
above-chance level (Binford
&
Gettys,
1965).
A
decision
can be
made
to
terminate
the
search
unsuccessfully
if
response
time
has
run
out,
or if
response time
is
expected
to
run out and
.S"
wishes
to
make
a
guess
before
it
does,
or if
5
decides that further search
would
not be
useful.
Termination schemes
of
the
latter type
are
quite varied.
One
simple
rule would terminate
the
search when
all
images
in the
examination subset have
been
interrogated
unsuccessfully.
Other
schemes would
end the
search when some
fixed
time
limit expired,
or
some
fixed
num-
ber
of
items examined.
These
schemes
are
described
in
more detail
in
Atkinson
and
Shiffrin
(1965).
The
extensive decision structure that
has
been
outlined
may
make
it
seem unlikely that
time
is
available
during
the
search
for
exami-
nation
of a
very large number
of
images.
This
is
indeed
the
point
of
view
we
adopt:
in
most cases
it is
assumed
that
only
a few
images will
be
examined
in the
search before
termination.
For
example,
in a
continuous
paired-associate task analyzed
by
Shiffrin
(1968),
the
estimated number
of
codes exam-
ined prior
to
termination
was
from about
one to five.
APPLICATIONS
OF THE
SYSTEM
Forgetting
Decrements
in
performance occur
in the
system
as a
result
of the
input
of
additional
information
to
LTS. These decrements
re-
sult
from
three related mechanisms.
First
is a
mechanical
effect;
information
sufficient
to
respond
correctly
at one
point
in
time
may
prove inadequate
after
additional information
has
been added.
For
example,
a
paired-
associate GAX-4
may be
stored
as
G**-4,
and
this code
will
be
sufficient
for
correct
responding
(if
recovered) when
GAX is
tested. Suppose, however, that
GEK-3
is
now
presented
and
stored
as
G**-3.
When
188
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
AND R. C.
ATKINSON
either
of
these stimuli
is
tested later, both
codes
may be
retrieved
from
LTS and
there-
fore
6"
will
have
to
guess whether
the
correct
response
is 3 or 4.
The
second cause
of
forgetting arises
from
a
breakdown
in the
directed component
of
the
search mechanism.
That
is,
correct
re-
trieval
requires that
the
same memory
area
be
searched
at
test
as was
used
for
storage
during
study.
This
may not
occur, however,
if
only
a
portion
of the
input
information
is
used
to
direct storage during study,
for a
different
portion might
be
utilized
to
locate
the
storage area during retrieval.
This
proc-
ess
could
be
viewed within
the
framework
of
stimulus sampling theory
(Estes,
1959)
if
the
stimulus elements
are
taken
to
represent
dimensions
of
organization.
For
clarity,
let
us
denote
the
image which encodes
the
cor-
rect
response
for the
current
test
as a
"c
code,"
and
denote
the
other codes
as
"i
codes."
Thus
the i
codes
are
irrelevant
codes
which should lead
to
intrusion errors,
whereas
the c
code,
if
examined, should lead
to
a
correct response. Then
the
directed
component
of
search
can be
characterized
by
the
probability that
the c
code
is in the
examination
subset, called
p
0
.
In
experiments
in
which clues
are
available
to
denote
the
organizational
dimensions
to be
searched,
/>„
may
be
close
to
1.0.
In
other situations, such
as
continuous tasks with randomly chosen
stimuli
and
responses,
p
0
will
be
lower
and
dependent
upon such factors
as the
amount
of
information
in the c
code
and its age
(where
"age" denotes
the
position
of the
code
on
the
temporal
dimension).
Although
the
breakdown
in the
directed component
can
provide
a
reasonable degree
of
forgetting,
we
shall
focus
primarily upon
the
third
mechanism
of
forgetting:
the
increasing
size
of
the
examination subset.
When searching
the
examination subset,
there
are a
number
of
possible results.
The
c
code
may be
examined
and
give rise
to a
correct response,
one of the i
codes
may be
examined
and
produce
an
intrusion response,
or
none
of the
codes
may
give rise
to a re-
sponse
and the
search terminates.
If the
search through
the
examination subset
is at
least
partially random, then
the
following
conclusions
may be
reached. When
the
size
of
the
subset
is
increased (i.e.,
the
number
of
i
codes
is
increased),
then
the
probability
of
giving
an
intrusion
will
increase,
the
aver-
age
time until
the c
code
is
examined
will
in-
crease,
and the
probability
of
giving
a
correct
response
will
decrease. When
we say
that
the
order
of
search
is
partially random,
we
mean
to
imply
that
the
order
in
which codes
in
the
examination subset
are
selected
for
consideration
may
depend upon both
the
amount
of
information
in the
code
and the
age of the
code. Clearly,
as the
amount
of
information
in a
code tends toward zero,
or
as the age of a
code increases,
the
probability
of
examining that code early
in the
search
should
decrease.
In
order
to
make
the
sequence
of
events
in
the
search clear,
an
example
of a
search
is
presented
in
Figure
2 for a
continuous
paired-associate
task.
In
this task, suppose
that
on
successive trials stimulus-response
pairs
are
presented;
on
each trial
the
stimu-
ORDER
OF
SEARCH
CODES
IN THE
EXAMINATION
SUBSET
AMOUNT
OF
STORED
INFORMATION
STIMULUS
NUMBER
TRIAL
NUMBER
1
ILi
18
33 32 31
I
1
i
I
70 69
68
67
1
30
1
66
I
1
l.l
24
29 20
I I I
65 64 63
/
/
•
1.
28 27
I
l
62
61
i
i
y-*
\
\
\
\
\
.'~^,
X
6
-•
1
1
-R
I.I.I
I
26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17
i
I I
* *
'
60
69 58 57
66
55 64 53 52 61
>
_
_
FIG.
2. A
schematic representation
of an LTS
search
in a
continuous memory
task.
PROCESSES
IN
LONG-TERM
MEMORY
189
lus
is
tested
first and
then
the
pair
is
studied.
A new
pair
may be
presented
on any
trial,
and
given several reinforcements
and
tests
at
varying
intervals.
The
bottom
row in the
figure
gives
the
trial number
for a
section
of
the
task
from
Trials
51-70.
The
number
of
the
stimulus-response pairs tested
and
studied
is
given
in the
second row.
The
third
row
shows which pairs have
had
codes
stored
in
LTS,
and the
height
of the bar
indicates
the
amount
of
information
in the
code.
The
fourth
row
indicates those codes
that
are in the
examination subset
on
Trial
70
when Stimulus
18 is
presented
for
test.
For
example,
the
stimulus
tested
may
have
begun
with
a
vowel,
and the
items
in the
examination
subset could have stimulus com-
ponents which also begin with
a
vowel.
Note
that
in
this example
the
code
for
Stimulus
18 was
stored
on
Trial
52, and
happens
to be in the
examination subset.
The
top row of the
table
gives
the
order
of
search
through
the
subset;
the first
four
codes were
examined
and
rejected
but the fifth
code
examined
was the c
code
and
enabled
the
search
to end
with
a
correct response.
It
may be
seen
how
forgetting occurs
if it is
imagined
that Item
18 had not
been tested
until
Trial
90 or
100.
In
this event, more
i
codes would
be
present
in the
examination
subset
and the
probability would
be
greater
that
an
intrusion would occur,
or
that
the
search would terminate before
the c
code
was
examined.
Interference
Various interference phenomena
are
read-
ily
predicted
by the
system. Although
in
general
the
order
of
search through
the
examination
subset will depend upon
the age
and
amount
of
information
in the
codes,
suppose
for
simplicity that
the
search order
is
entirely random.
Then
both nonspecific
proactive
and
retroactive interference
effects
are
predicted,
and in a
sense
are
predicted
to
be
equal.
That
is,
extra
i
codes
in the
examination subset added either
temporally
before
or
after
the c
code
will
cause
the
cor-
rect retrieval probability
to
drop;
in the
case
of a
random search
the
probability
de-
crease
will
be the
same whether caused
by
an
i
code preceding
or
following
the c
code.
The
drop occurs because
the
extra
codes
increase
the
amount
of
time required
to find
the c
code. Therefore,
if the
size
of the
examination
subset
is
increased,
it is
more
likely
that either response time will
run out
or
an
intrusion response will occur. Obvi-
ously
the
greater
the
degree
to
which
the
search
is
ordered temporally backwards
from
the
most recent item,
the
less
the
proactive,
and
the
greater
the
retroactive interference
effect.
Thus
if
codes
are
examined
strictly
in
temporal order,
the
average amount
of
time
until
the c
code
is
examined will
be
independent
of the
number
of
codes which
are
older
than
the c
code
and
hence
no
pro-
active
effect
will
be
expected.
One of the
best
places
to
examine nonspecific proactive
and
retroactive interference
effects
is in the
study
of
free-verbal recall
as a
function
of
list
length (Murdock,
1962).
In
this
task
a
list
of
words
is
read
to S, who
attempts
to
recall
as
many
of
them
as
possible
following
their
presentation.
The
data
are
usually
graphed
as a
serial-position curve which
gives
the
probability
of
correct recall
as a
function
of the
presentation position (and
hence
as a
function
of the
number
of
pre-
ceding
and
succeeding items
in the
list).
As
the
list length
is
varied,
the
number
of
pre-
ceding
and
succeeding items
is
systematically
varied
and it is
possible
to
apply
the
theory
to
the
resultant data.
The
application
of the
theory
is
made
particularly
easy
in
this
case
because
6"
is
trying
to
recall
all of the
list,
and
hence
the
examination subset
can be
assumed
to
consist
of all
codes that have
been
stored.
In
fact,
a
model derived
from
the
theory
has
been applied
to
free-verbal
recall data
as a
function
of
list length
and
has
proved remarkably successful
(Atkinson
&
Shiffrin,
1965,
1968a).
The
model
as-
sumes that performance decreases with list
length because more codes
are
missed
in the
memory search
at
longer
list
lengths.
This
model also predicts that some
of the
missed
codes
should
be
retrieved
if a
second recall
test
is
given following
the first.
Just
such
an
effect
was
found
by
Tulving
(1967),
and its
magnitude
is
predicted accurately
by the
model.
Three successive recall tests were
given following
a
single
list
presentation
and
only
50% of the
items recalled were recalled
190
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
AND R. C.
ATKINSON
on
all
three tests, even though
the
actual
number
recalled remained constant over
the
three
tests.
Item-specific
interference
is
also readily
predicted
via the
search
mechanism. Item
interference
refers
to
that
condition arising
when
a
stimulus originally paired with
one
response
is
later paired with
a
second, dif-
ferent
response.
In
this case
two
different
codes with
the
same stimulus
may be
placed
in
LTS.
Thus,
the
amount
of
proactive
or
retroactive interference will depend upon
the
number
of
times
the
wrong code
is
examined
and
accepted prior
to the
correct code.
In
particular,
the
degree
of
temporal ordering
in
the
search
will
affect
the
relative amounts
of
proactive
and
retroactive
effects.
That
is,
the
greater
the
degree that
the
search
is
ordered temporally backwards
from
the
most
recent item,
the
less proactive
and the
greater
retroactive
effect
is
predicted.
The
reason-
ing is
similar
to
that
in the
previous
para-
graph
for
nonspecific
effects.
This
rather
simple
view
of
interference
is
complicated
by
at
least
two
factors.
First,
if S is
aware that
he
will
eventually
be
tested
for
both
re-
sponses,
he may
link them
in
nearby codes,
or in a
single code,
and
thereby reduce inter-
ference
effects
(Ballet
&
D'Andrea,
1965).
Second,
when
the first
response
is
changed,
-S"
may tag the first
code with
the
informa-
tion
that
the
response
is now
wrong.
If the
first
code
is
later recovered during
search,
then this information will enable
him to
inhibit
an
intrusion
and
continue
the
search;
an
effect
like
this
was
found
by
Shiffrin
(1968).
We
might
ask how
this view
of
interfer-
ence
phenomena compares with traditional
theories such
as the
various "two-factor"
interference
theories (Melton
&
Irwin,
1940;
Postman,
1961;
Underwood,
1957).
In a
number
of
respects,
the
present system dif-
fers
sharply with
the
traditional
views;
for
example,
in the
assumption
of a
permanent
store.
It
might
be
expected
in the
present
framework,
where memory
is
permanent,
that interference
effects
which appear under
one
form
of
test (say recall) would
be re-
duced
under less stringent
tests
(say recog-
nition)
whenever
the
less stringent
test
succeeds
in
making both
the old and new
codes available. Evidence
of
this
sort
has
been
found
by
McGovern
(1964).
Note
that
the
present search system does
not
necessi-
tate
the
introduction
of
such processes
as
proactive
and
retroactive inhibition
and
spon-
taneous recovery, each with associated
changes over time.
The
effects
accounted
for
by
these processes
are
easy
to
handle
within
the
search framework,
at
least
in
con-
tinuous
tasks
of the
type presented
in
Figure
2. In
list-structured
tasks, however, there
is
room
for
considerable complication,
in
that
learning
of
lists allows
for
organization
and
retrieval
schemes based
on the
list
as a
whole.
Thus, when
the first-list
responses
to
stimuli
are all
changed
in a
second list,
the
organiza-
tional
strategy
or the
retrieval scheme,
(in
the
present terms,
the
"directed"
search com-
ponent)
may be the
mechanism which
is
dis-
turbed,
and it may be
this disturbance which
is
described
by the
traditional interference
theories. Indeed, there
is
evidence
from
list-
structured
tasks that interference
effects
found
over lists
as a
whole
may not be re-
lated
to
individual stimulus-response assign-
ments within those lists
(DaPolito,
1966;
Greeno,
1967).
In any
event, when quanti-
tative models derived
from
the
present theory
have
been applied
to
data (Atkinson
&
Shif-
frin,
1968a;
Shiffrin,
1968),
the
search
scheme outlined here handled forgetting
and
interference
effects
in a
parsimonious
and
accurate manner.
Intrusions
Another
useful
feature
of the
model
is its
natural prediction
of
intrusions,
and of
varia-
tions
in
intrusion rates over
differing
condi-
tions.
In a
paired-associate task,
an
intru-
sion
occurs when
the
response contained
in
an
i
code
is
recovered
and
emitted. Actually,
the
intrusion process
has not yet
been speci-
fied
clearly,
since both
the
probability
of be-
ing in the
examination subset
and the
proba-
bility
of
accepting
the
recovered response
will
be
smaller
for an i
code than
a c
code
containing
an
equal amount
of
information.
It may be
assumed that
the
likelihood
of an
i
code being
in the
examination subset
will
be
a
function
of its
similarity
to the
test
stimulus,
since storage
is
carried
out
pri-
marily
on the
basis
of
stimulus
information.
PROCESSES
IN
LONG-TERM
MEMORY
191
The
probability
of
accepting
an
t
code
as
being
correct
will
similarly depend upon
the
generalization
from
the
test
stimulus
to the
stimulus information encoded
in the i
code.
Given
that
the i
code
is
examined
and ac-
cepted,
however,
the
probability
that
a re-
sponse
will
be
recovered
and
emitted should
depend
directly upon
the
response informa-
tion
encoded, just
as for a c
code.
The
above
statements allow intrusion probabilities
to be
predicted
for
various conditions.
In the
situation
of
Figure
2, for
example,
an in-
crease
in
intrusions will
be
predicted over
the
course
of the
session (since
the
number
of
i
codes
in the
examination subset
on
tests
during
the
course
of the
session will
in-
crease).
This increase
has
been
found
in
such
a
task,
and a
model based
on the
present
theory predicts
the
increase accurately (Shif-
frin,
1968).
Another phenomenon predicted
by the
the-
ory is
that
of
second-guessing, where second-
guessing refers
to the
giving
of a
second
response
after
5"
has
been told that
his first
response
is
incorrect.
A
variety
of
assump-
tions
can be
made about
this
process,
the
simplest
of
which postulates
that
5"
continues
his
search
of the
examination subset
from
the
point
where
the
intrusion occurred.
This
assumption predicts that
the
level
of
second-
guessing
will
be
above chance,
an
effect
found
by
Binford
and
Gettys
(1965).
If the
search
is
temporally ordered
to any
degree,
then
strong predictions
can be
made concerning
the
second-guessing
rate
depending upon
whether
the
response
given
in
error
was
paired
in the
sequence with
a
stimulus occur-
ring
before
or
after
the
tested stimulus (as-
suming
that
the
task utilizes
a set of
unique
responses).
In
fact,
examination
of
this
effect
is one
method
of
determining
the
tem-
poral characteristics
of the
search.
Latency
of
Responses
Another variable which
may be
predicted
from
the
theory
in a
straightforward
way is
the
latency
of
responses.
The
basic assump-
tion requires latency
to be a
monotonic
in-
creasing
function
of the
number
of
images
examined
before
a
response
is
emitted.
Among
the
implications
of
this assumption
are the
following. Latencies
of
correct
re-
sponses should increase with increases
in the
number
of
intervening
items.
This
predic-
tion
holds whenever there
is
some temporal
component
to the
search,
or
whenever
the
number
of
items preceding
the
tested item
is
large.
If the
reasonable assumption
is
made that codes containing more information
are
examined earlier
in the
search, then
a
decrease
in
correct response latency
is ex-
pected
as the
number
of
reinforcements
in-
crease, since
the
item
will
gain stored infor-
mation over reinforcements
and
therefore
tend
to be
examined earlier
in the
search.
This
effect
has
been
found
by
Rumelhart
(1967)
and
Shiffrin
(1968)
in a
continuous
paired-associate task.
In
general,
any ma-
nipulation
designed
to
vary
the
number
of
codes
examined, whether
by
instructions,
by
organization
of the
presented material,
or by
other means should
affect
the
response laten-
cies
in a
specifiable
way.
Recognition
and
Recall
In
terms
of the
present system
the
search
proceeds
in a
similar manner whether recog-
nition
or
recall
is the
mode
of
test;
the
dif-
ference
lies
in the
size
of the
examination
subset
in the two
cases.
Once
information
is
recovered
from
LTS, however,
the
deci-
sion
process involved
in
response generation
may
be
somewhat
different
for
recognition
and
recall.
In a
paired-associate design,
the
search will begin with
an
attempted recogni-
tion
of the
stimulus, with
the
decision
whether
to
continue
the
search dependent
upon
a
positive stimulus recognition (Mar-
tin,
1967).
Hypotheses which ascribe
differ-
ent
retrieval
mechanisms
for
recognition
and
recall
are not
necessary.
In
both recognition
and
recall
the
presented stimulus will
be
sorted into
an LTS
area,
and a
search ini-
tiated
there.
In the
case
of
recognition, this
search
can be
quite limited, perhaps consist-
ing of an
examination
of a
single image.
In
the
case
of
recall,
the
stimulus
may be
recog-
nized
with little search needed,
but the
neces-
sity
for
recovering
the
response
may
entail
a
larger search, although
"larger"
might imply
only
examination
of two to five
additional
items
(Shiffrin,
1968).
192
R. M.
SHIFFRIN
AND R. C.
ATKINSON
CONCLUSIONS
The
theory outlined here
is
descriptive;
we
have attempted
to
present
a
theory
of
memory
in
fairly
general terms
and to
dem-
onstrate
for
certain commonly studied varia-
bles
how the
theory
can be
applied.
It is
beyond
the
scope
of
this paper
to
present
specific
quantitative models
that
follow
from
the
general theory
and
apply them
to
data,
but
such models have been
set
forth
elsewhere
and
applied
successfully:
in
continuous
paired-associate learning experiments where
the
variables examined included
the
number
of
intervening items, rankings
of
responses,
second-guessing,
proactive interference
ef-
fects,
intrusions,
and
latencies
(Shiffrin,
1968);
in
free-verbal recall where
the
varia-
bles
examined included list length
and
presentation time (Atkinson
&
Shiffrin,
1968a)
; and in
paired-associate memory
tasks where
the
variables include list length,
confidence
ratings,
and
response times (At-
kinson
&
Shiffrin,
1965;
Phillips,
Shiffrin,
&
Atkinson,
1967).
Despite these successes,
we
wish
to
emphasize
that
the
theory
is
still
in
an
early formative stage,
and
awaits appli-
cation
to a
wider range
of
problems.
For
example,
it is not yet
known whether
the
theory
can be
extended
in an
elegant
way to
account quantitatively
for the
interference
phenomena
observed
in a
typical list-struc-
tured task. Whatever
the
fate
of
such appli-
cations,
the
present theory serves
the
purpose
of
providing
a
general framework within
which
many
of the
specific
quantitative mod-
els
known
to the
authors
may be
placed,
including
all of our own
work.
In
addition,
we
hope that this report
will
lead
to a
more
detailed
consideration
of
memory input
and
output mechanisms, especially
the
memory-
search process.
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