FRAUD
Iris Ikeda, Commissioner
Division of Financial Institutions
Department of Commerce and Consumer Affairs
September 2016
Agenda
What is Fraud?
Types of Fraud
Sources of Information
Red Flags
Financial Analysis
What is Fraud Detecting a Fraud
Conducting a “should of” after a fraud happens may show
that red flags were present. If the victim had only recognized
the warning signs, then that loss may not have occurred or
been substantially reduced.
Based on a recent survey by the Association of Certified Fraud
Examiners (ACFE), occupational fraud substantially increases
organizational costs.
Myth: fraud is a big scheme that should have been
uncovered sooner and is easy to detect.
Fraud starts small and just gets bigger and bigger, until
something becomes noticeably different or unusual.
What is Fraud Fraud defined
“The use of one’s occupation for personal enrichment
through the deliberate misuse or misapplication of the
employing organization’s resources or assets.” (ACFE)
Five elements of fraud are:
A representation about a material fact, which is false,
And made intentionally, knowingly, or recklessly,
Which is believed,
And acted upon by the victim,
To the victim’s damage.
What is Fraud Fraud defined
Fraud, like other crime, has three factors:
A supply of motivated
offenders/perpetrators;
The availability of suitable targets/victims;
The absence of capable guardians or a
control system to “mind the store.”
What is Fraud Fraud defined
Four elements for a person or employee to
commit fraud:
Opportunity
Low chance of getting caught
Rationalization in the fraudsters mind, and
Justification that results from the
rationalization.
What is Fraud Fraud Triangle
Classic model for fraudsters is to use other
peoples money or “I want something I
don’t have money for.”
What is Fraud Fraud Triangle
Opportunity
Opportunity is an open door for solving a non-shareable
problem in secret by violating a trust.
Opportunity is generally provided through weaknesses in the
internal controls which include inadequate or no:
Supervision and review
Separation of duties
Management approval
System controls
What is Fraud Fraud Triangle
Pressure
Pressure may be anything from unrealistic
deadlines and performance goals to
personal vices such as gambling or drugs.
What is Fraud Fraud Triangle
Rationalization
Rationalization is a crucial component because most
people/perpetrators need to believe their behavior meets
the commonly accepted notions of decency and trust.
Some examples include:
“I really need this money and I’ll put it back when I get
my paycheck”
I’d rather have the company on my back than the IRS”
“I just can’t afford to lose everything – my home, car,
everything”
What is Fraud Ingredients of Fraud
Poor internal controls
Management override of internal controls
Collusion between employees
Collusion between employees and third
parties
What is Fraud – Discovery
Detected through tips
Detected by new management
Detected by accident
Detected by internal audit
Types of Fraud Telemarketing /
Phone
Callers claiming to be anyone from police
officers to disabled workers taking advantage of
the public’s sympathy and generosity
Offer miracle cures from baldness to cancer to
vacation time shares to sweepstakes and
investment opportunities.
Callers ask for money or personal information.
Callers use scare tactics (IRS or FBI agents).
Types of Fraud – Common Examples
Security and Fraud Department of your credit- or debit-card company
asks you for the 3-digit security number on the back of your credit card
to verify your possession of the card to aid it in a fraud investigation.
Medicare now requires a National ID Card and offers to provide one for a
fee. Or the caller says a card is being mailed, but he needs your bank
information.
U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) agent or official and that you
must pay a fine because you have bought or attempted to buy
discounted prescription drugs from a foreign pharmacy.
Microsoft to warn you that your computer has a security problem and
offer a free security check. You are tricked into allowing access to your
computer, downloading malware, giving out credit card info, or buying
some software or services that you don’t need.
Types of Fraud Internet
Do you visit websites by clicking on links within an e-mail?
Do you reply to e-mails from persons or businesses you are not
familiar with?
Have you received packages to hold or ship to someone you met
on the Internet?
Have you been asked to cash checks and wire funds to someone
you met on the Internet?
Would you cash checks or money orders received through an
Internet transaction without first confirming their legitimacy?
Would you provide your personal banking information in response
to an e-mail notification?
Types of Fraud Email Scams
Cybercriminals use e-mail in clever ways to try to take
your money and identity, and disrupt your computer
operation, gather sensitive information, or gain
unauthorized access to your computer
Business opportunities to make cash fast
Chain letters involving money
Work at home schemes
Health & diet breakthroughs
Free goods offered to fee-paying members
Credit repair schemes
Types of Fraud Online Shopping
Credit card limited liability to $50 for any unauthorized or
fraudulent charges made before you report the billing
error (EFTA)
Using a debit card for shopping – can empty an account
quickly
Examples:
Rental housing
Airline tickets
Concert tickets
Timeshare properties
Vacation properties
Types of Fraud Appeals for help
Claims to be a family member who needs help
Grandparents are targeted
Examples:
Grandchild arrested or hospitalized
Military family members deployed overseas are injured
Types of Fraud Auto Loan Mods
Companies which claim it can reduce your monthly
loan / lease payment
Companies might charge fees of several hundred
dollars up front, tout their relationships with lenders, and
bolster their claims to be able to significantly lower your
monthly payments with glowing testimonials from
"satisfied" customers.
Some give a “guarantee” that if they can't make a deal
with your lender, they'll refund your money.
Types of Fraud Bankruptcy
Foreclosure Rescue
Target people whose home mortgages are in trouble and promise to take
care of your problem with your lender or get refinancing
Examples:
Unsolicited contact & uses high-pressure sales techniques
Calls itself a mortgage or foreclosure consultant, foreclosure prevention specialist
Says it knows a lot of people who have gone through foreclosure and just wants
to help you or contacts you because they saw a notice of default or a notice of
trustee’s sale in public records
Promises to find “loopholes” in your loan documents or violations of State/Federal
lending laws that can get you off the hook
Asks for a fee before performing a service
Asks you to make your home mortgage payments directly to them
Asks you to transfer your property deed or title to them.
Sources of Information
Consumer
Business records
Bank statements
Audit reports
Sources of Information Means of
Obtaining
Voluntarily (from consumer or business)
Interview both consumer and perpetrator
Written requests
Subpoena
Red Flags Importance of Red Flags
Red flag is a set of circumstances that are unusual in nature or vary from the
normal activity. It is a signal that something is out of the ordinary and may need
to be investigated further.
Remember that red flags do not indicate guilt or innocence but merely provide
possible warning signs of fraud.
According to ACFE, fraud cases consistently show that red flags were present,
but were either not recognized or were recognized but not acted upon by
anyone. Once a red flag has been noted, someone should take action to
investigate the situation and determine if a fraud has been committed.
Red flags should lead to some kind of appropriate action. Sometimes an error
is just an error and no fraud has occurred.
You need to be able to recognize the difference and remember that
responsibility for follow-up investigation of a red flag should be carefully
reviewed.
Red Flags Types of Red Flags
The majority of loss committed by managers was $218,000, which is
almost three times greater than the loss resulting from an employee
scheme.
Approximately 61 percent of the fraud cases were committed by men.
The median loss from fraud by males was $250,000, which is more than
twice the median loss by women.
Nearly 40 percent of all fraud cases are committed by two or more
individuals.
The median loss in these cases is $485,000, which is almost five times
greater than the median loss in fraud cases involving one person.
Red Flags Types of Red Flags
Most fraud perpetrators (87.9%) have never been charged or
convicted of a crime. Research showed that those who commit
occupational fraud are not career criminals.
The median loss attributable to fraud by older employees is greater
than that of their younger counterparts. The median loss by employees
over the age of 60 was $713,000. Employees 25 or younger, the
median loss was $25,000
Most costly abuses occur in companies with less than 100 employees.
Government and Not-for-Profit organizations have experienced the
lowest median losses.
Management ignores irregularities.
High turnover with low morale.
Staff lacks training.
Red Flags Employee Red Flags
Employee lifestyle changes: expensive cars, jewelry,
homes, clothes
Significant personal debt and credit problems
Behavioral changes: these may be an indication of
drugs, alcohol, gambling, or just fear of losing the job
High employee turnover, especially in those areas which
are more vulnerable to fraud
Refusal to take vacation or sick leave
Lack of segregation of duties in the vulnerable area
Red Flags – Control Person Red Flags
Reluctance to provide information to
auditors
Managers engage in frequent disputes
with auditors
Management decisions are dominated
by an individual or small group
Managers display significant disrespect
for regulatory bodies
There is a weak internal control
environment
Accounting personnel are lax or
inexperienced
Decentralization without adequate
monitoring
Excessive number of checking accounts
Frequent changes in banking accounts
Frequent changes in external auditors
Company assets sold under market
value
Significant downsizing in a healthy
market
Continuous rollover of loans
Excessive number of year end
transactions
High employee turnover rate
Unexpected overdrafts or declines in
cash balances
Refusal by company to use serial or
duplicate receipts
Compensation program that is out of
proportion
Any financial transaction that doesn’t
make sense - either common or business
Service Contracts result in no product
Photocopied or missing documents
Red Flags Behavior Changes
Borrowing money from co-workers
Creditors or collectors appearing at the workplace
Gambling beyond the ability to stand the loss
Excessive drinking or other personal habits
Easily annoyed at reasonable questioning
Providing unreasonable responses to questions
Refusing vacations or promotions for fear of detection
Bragging about significant new purchases
Carrying unusually large sums of money
Rewriting records under the guise of neatness
Red Flags – Company Behavior Changes
Excessive number of voids, discounts and returns
Unauthorized bank accounts
Sudden activity in dormant banking accounts
Taxpayer complaints that they are receiving non-payment notices
Discrepancies between bank deposits and posting
Abnormal number of expense items, supplies, or reimbursement to
the employee
Presence of employee checks in the petty cash for the employee in
charge of petty cash
Excessive or unjustified cash transactions
Large number of write-offs of accounts
Bank accounts that are not reconciled on a timely basis
Red Flags – Company Behavior Changes
Increasing number of complaints about products or service
Increase in purchasing inventory, but no increase in sales or
abnormal inventory shrinkage
Lack of physical security over assets/inventory
Charges without shipping documents
Payments to vendors who aren’t on an approved vendor list
High volume of purchases from new vendors
Purchases that bypass the normal procedures
Vendors without physical addresses
Vendor addresses matching employee addresses
Excess inventory and inventory that is slow to turnover
Purchasing agents that pick up vendor payments, not mailed
Red Flags Lifestyle Fraud
Often committed by trusted employees.
Some embezzlers are secretive. They don’t want to be caught and
will “stash” stolen funds and be extremely careful with their
spending.
Other “aspiring” embezzlers want to use, enjoy, share, and show off
their fraudulently gained money. Explanations of “new found”
wealth may include:
My husband/wife just got a great promotion.
I have a few little investments that have been doing really,
REALLY well.”
Great Aunt Ethel passed away and I was totally surprised she
left us quite a nice little nest egg.”
I finally decided to get rid of some property that’s been in the
family for years.”
Red Flags Dependency Fraud
Addictions. Someone who is dependent on drugs, alcohol, gambling or other
addictions typically experience a slow tightening noose of financial pressures.
Desperation fuels monetary needs and, therefore, the need arises to “borrow”
funds to ease the financial dilemma. Employees with addiction problems may
be tough to spot. Many people with addictions can function at fairly high or
normal levels of behavior during work hours.
Some patterns to look for:
Absenteeism
Regular ill health or “shaky” appearance
Easily making and breaking promises and commitments
Series of creative “explanations
High level of self absorption
Inconsistent or illogical behavior
Forgetfulness or memory loss
Family problems
Evidence of deceit (small or large)
Red Flags Financial Pressure Fraud
Faced by everyone at some period of time. Perhaps beyond their
control, employees may find themselves in financially stressful
situations due to a variety of factors. Not everyone who faces undue
pressure commits fraud, but the higher the stress level, the more
distracted and desperate an employee may become.
Medical bills
Family responsibilities
A spouse losing a job
Divorce
Debt requirements
Maintaining a current lifestyle
Car repairs
Financial Analysis Bank Records
Using bank statements or other financial documents
Get the documents – discussed earlier
What can you use these documents to prove?
See financial trouble
Fraud
Skimming
Misappropriation
Unethical activity (bank personnel)
Lifestyle of a person
Financial Analysis Financial
Profiling
Attempt to determine if a subject’s
(consumer’s) expenditures or
accumulated wealth exceed his/her
income
Look for:
Potential illegal income (i.e. gambling)
Do you need additional info
Financial Analysis Net Worth
Analysis
Shows possible illegal income through
increases in accumulated wealth
Total assets 2012 $100,000
- Total liabilities 2013 $200,000
= Net Worth 2014 $300,000
Change in net worth $200,000
Financial Analysis Net Worth
Analysis
Shows possible illegal income through increases in
accumulated wealth
Change in net worth $200,000
+ expenses $150,000
= total dollar outlay $250,000
THEN, compare the total dollar outlay with the reported
income $150,000
Shows target is spending more than their reported income
How to Detect Fraud Financial
Statements
Financial statement analysis is a process that enables
readers of a company’s financial reports to develop and
answer questions regarding the data presented.
Financial statements express a company’s economic
condition in three ways:
1. The balance sheet reports assets, liabilities, and owners’ equity;
2. The income statement accounts for the profit or loss of the
company;
3. And the cash flow statement displays the sources and uses of
cash.
How to Detect Fraud Financial
Statements
At the end of these statements, there is a section for
footnotes—a more detailed description of several items
on the financial statements including a discussion of
changes in accounting methods, related party
transactions, contingencies, and so on.
Annual and quarterly reports also typically include a
section titled Management’s Discussion and Analysis
(MD&A), which gives management’s perspective on the
financial results of the period in the report.
How to Detect Fraud – Unexpected
Deviations
Financial analysis techniques can help investigators
discover and examine unexpected relationships in
financial information.
These analytical procedures are based on the premise
that relatively stable relationships exist among
economic events in the absence of conditions to the
contrary
Unexpected deviations in relationships most likely
indicate errors, but also might indicate illegal acts or
fraud.
Therefore, deviations in expected relationships warrant
further investigation to determine the exact cause.
How to Detect Fraud Analytical
Procedures
Used to detect and examine relationships of
financial information that do not appear
reasonable.
They are useful in identifying:
Differences that are not expected
The absence of differences that are expected
Potential errors
Potential fraud and illegal acts
Other unusual or non-recurring transactions or events
Analytical techniques assist
with the first steps in the
fraud auditing process by
enabling the fraud
examiner to identify areas
of high risk, highlight the
most likely schemes, and
identify the red flags that
warrant further investigation
How to Detect Fraud
Comparative Techniques
Relationships among financial data that do not appear
reasonable should be investigated.
Fraud examiners can employ the following techniques to help
them identify such relationships:
Compare current-period financial information to prior-period
financial information, budgets, and forecasts.
Examine relationships among financial information. For instance,
cost of goods sold is expected to vary directly in relation to
sales.
Study relationships of financial information with related non-
financial information. For example, department store sales are
expected to vary with the square footage of the sales floor.
Compare information to that of other organizational units or the
industry.
How to Detect Fraud – Company’s
Financial Relationships
An understanding of general relationships between
certain financial statement balances is necessary to
identify relationships that appear unusual.
If sales increase, how should the cost of sales respond?
If commission expense decreases, what would be
expected of sales?
Answers to questions such as these are the foundation
of financial analysis.
The following relationships are general, and
traditionally occur between financial accounts;
however, unique circumstances may render different
results.
How to Detect Fraud – Company’s
Financial Relationships
A financially healthy company tries to maintain a consistent
balance between assets and liabilities.
By keeping a certain balance, the company displays its solidity to
lenders or equity investors and keeps financing costs down.
A sudden change from historical norms means something has
changed with management’s view of its business.
It also could indicate that management is trying to hide something.
A sudden increase in the ratio could mean that liabilities such as
long-term debt have been hidden in off balance sheet entities.
If the value of liabilities rises and the ratio spikes downward, it could
reveal that the company is borrowing heavily to finance operations
and that the risk of fraud is acute.
How to Detect Fraud – Company’s
financial relationships
The company generates sales because it sells its
merchandise.
This merchandise had to be purchased, manufactured, or
both, all of which entail a cash outlay for materials, labor, and
so on.
Therefore, for each sale, there must be a cost associated with
it.
If sales increase, then the cost of goods sold generally
increases proportionally.
Of course, there are cases where a company has adopted a
more efficient method of producing goods, thus reducing its
costs, but there still are costs associated with the sales that
are recognized upon the sale of the goods.
How to Detect Fraud – Company’s
Financial Relationships
When a company makes a sale to a
customer, the company generally ships
the merchandise to the customer before
the customer pays, resulting in an account
receivable for the company.
Therefore, the relationship between the
sales and the accounts receivable is
direct.
How to Detect Fraud – Company’s
Financial Relationships
A company’s inventory is merchandise that is ready to
be sold.
A company generally tries to anticipate future sales,
and in doing so, tries to meet these demands by
having an adequate supply of inventory.
Therefore, inventory usually reflects the growth in
sales.
If sales increase, then inventory should increase to
meet the demands of sales.
Inventory that grows at a faster pace than sales might
indicate obsolete, slow-moving merchandise or
overstated inventory.
How to Detect Fraud – Company’s
Financial Relationships
Companies generate sales revenue by selling products or providing
services.
Likewise, companies incur direct and indirect costs related to
producing or acquiring the products they sell, or providing the
services for their customers.
Gross, operating, and net profit margins are shown on the income
statement.
Over time, profit margins should stay consistent as the company
targets a certain profit in order to stay in business.
If the company encounters increased competition and must reduce
the price for its products, it will have to find ways to cut expenses.
Ongoing pressure on profit margins indicates pressure on
management, which could ultimately lead to fraud in the financial
reporting.
How to Detect Fraud – Company’s
Financial Relationships
When analytical procedures uncover an unexpected relationship among
financial data, the fraud examiner must investigate the results.
The evaluation of the results should include inquiries and additional
procedures.
Before asking the company’s employees and management about the
variations, the fraud examiner should first establish expectations for the
causes of the variances.
From expected causes, the fraud examiner will be better suited to ask
meaningful questions when interviewing company personnel.
Explanations derived from employees should then be tested through
examination of supporting evidence.
For example, if the sales manager indicates that the increase in sales is due
to a new advertising campaign, examine the advertising expense account
to verify that a campaign did occur.
If the advertising expense is similar to the prior year, the relationship is not
reasonable and fraud may exist.
Procedures for Analysis
Investigating relationships between numbers offers deep
insight into the financial well-being of an organization.
By comparing these relationships with other industries or
businesses within the same industry, an examiner can
extrapolate viable evidential matter and gain a greater
comprehension of the company’s financial condition.
Financial statement analysis includes the following:
Percentage analysis, including vertical and horizontal analysis
Ratio analysis
Cash flow analysis
Procedures for Analysis Vertical
and Horizontal
Vertical analysis is a technique for analyzing the relationships
between the items on any one of the financial statements in
one reporting period.
The analysis results in the relationships between components
expressed as percentages that can then be compared
across periods.
This method is often referred to as “common sizing” financial
statements.
In the vertical analysis of an income statement, net sales is
assigned 100 percent; for a balance sheet, total assets is
assigned 100 percent on the asset side, and total liabilities
and equity is expressed as 100 percent on the other side.
All other items in each of the sections are expressed as a
percentage of these numbers.
Procedures for Analysis Vertical
and Horizontal
Horizontal analysis is a technique for analyzing the percentage change in
individual financial statement items from one year to the next.
The first period in the analysis is considered the base, and the changes in
the subsequent period are computed as a percentage of the base period.
If more than two periods are presented, each period’s changes are
computed as a percentage of the preceding period.
The resulting percentages are then studied in detail.
It is important to consider the amount of change as well as the percentage
in horizontal comparisons.
A 5 percent change in an account with a very large dollar amount may
actually be much more of a change than a 50 percent change in an
account with much less activity.
Like vertical analysis, this technique will not detect small, immaterial frauds.
However, both methods translate changes into percentages, which can
then be compared to highlight areas of top concern.
Procedures Vertical Analysis
Vertical analysis of the income statement uses total sales as the base amount, and all other
items are then analyzed as a percentage of that total.
Vertical analysis emphasizes the relationship of statement items within each accounting period.
These relationships can be used with historical averages to determine statement anomalies.
In the above example, we observe that accounts payable is 29 percent of total liabilities and
stockholders’ equity.
Historically, we may find that this account averages slightly over 25 percent.
In year two, accounts payable rose to 51 percent.
Although the change in the account total may be explainable through a correlation with a rise
in sales, this significant rise might be a starting point in a fraud examination.
Source documents should be examined to determine the rise in this percentage.
With this type of examination, fraudulent activity may be detected.
The same type of change can be seen as selling expenses decline as a part of sales in year two
from 20 to 17 percent.
Again, this change may be explainable with higher volume sales or another bona fide
explanation. But close examination may possibly cause a fraud examiner to uncover fictitious
sales, since there was not a corresponding increase in selling expenses.
Procedures Horizontal Analysis
Horizontal statement analysis uses percentage comparison across
accounting periods, or in a horizontal manner.
The percentage change is calculated by dividing the amount of increase or
decrease for each item by the prior-period amount.
In the previous example, cash declined by $30,000 from year one to year
two, a 67 percent drop.
Further analysis reveals that the 80 percent increase in sales has a much
greater corresponding increase in cost of goods sold, which rose 140
percent.
This is an unusual increase and displays a deteriorating financial condition.
If management employed fraudulent accounting in the period, it might
mean that revenues were understated for some reason.
Management might have wanted to avoid a high tax bill or to shift revenues
to the next period for some reason.
It might also mean that the cost of goods is rising, which might pressure
management to improve the appearance of the company’s financials by
engaging in fraudulent accounting in future periods.
Procedures Ratio Analysis
Ratio analysis is a means of measuring the relationship between two
different financial statement amounts.
Ratios are calculated from current year numbers and are then
compared to previous years, other companies, the industry, or even
the economy to judge the performance of the company.
This form of financial statement analysis can be very useful in
detecting red flags for a fraud examination.
Many professionals, including bankers, investors, business owners,
and investment analysts, use this method to better understand a
company’s financial health.
Ratio analysis allows for internal evaluations using financial
statement data.
The relationship and comparison are the keys to the analysis.
For further insight, financial statement ratios are used in comparisons
to an entity’s industry averages.
Procedures Ratio Analysis
As the financial ratios present a significant change from one
year to the next, or over a period of years, it becomes
obvious that there might be a problem.
As in all other analyses, specific changes are often explained
by changes in the business operations.
When a change in a specific ratio or several related ratios is
detected, the appropriate source accounts should be
researched and examined in detail to determine if fraud has
occurred.
For instance, a significant decrease in a company’s current
ratio might point to an increase in current liabilities or a
reduction in assets, both of which could be used to cover
fraud.
In the analysis of financial statements, each reader of the
statements will determine which portions are most important.
Procedures Ratio Analysis
These ratios may also reveal frauds other than accounting frauds.
If an employee is embezzling from the company’s accounts, for
instance, the amount of cash will decrease disproportionately and
the current ratio will decline.
Liability concealment will cause a more favorable ratio.
Similarly, a check-tampering scheme will usually result in a
decrease in current assets, namely cash, which will, in turn,
decrease the current ratio.
In fact, these frauds might be more easily detected with ratio
analysis because employees other than management would not
have access to accounting cover-ups of non-accounting frauds.
Anomalies in ratios could point directly to the existence of
fraudulent actions.
Accounting frauds can much more subtle and demand extensive
investigation beyond the signal that something is out of the norm.
Procedures – Types of Ratio Analysis
Current Ratio
Current
Assets
Current Liabilities
The current ratio, current assets divided by current liabilities, is probably the
most frequently used ratio in financial statement analysis.
This comparison measures a company’s ability to meet short-term
obligations from its liquid assets.
The number of times that current assets exceed current liabilities has long
been a measure of financial strength.
In detecting fraud, this ratio can be a prime indicator of manipulation of
accounts involved.
Embezzlement will cause the ratio to decrease.
Liability concealment will cause a more favorable ratio.
In the preceding example, the drastic change in the current ratio from year
one (2.84) to year two (1.70) should cause an examiner to look at these
accounts in more detail.
For instance, a check-tampering scheme will usually result in a decrease in
current assets, or cash, which will in turn decrease the ratio.
Procedures Types of Ratio Analysis
Acid Test Ratio
Cash+Securities+Receivables
Current Liabilities
Compares assets that can be immediately liquidated to liabilities that will be due in the next year.
This calculation divides the total cash, securities, and receivables by current liabilities.
This ratio is a measure of company’s ability to meet sudden cash requirements.
In turbulent economic times, it is used quite prevalently, giving the analyst a worst-case look at the
company’s working capital situation.
An examiner will analyze this ratio for fraud indicators.
In year one of the example, the company balance sheet reflects a quick ratio of 2.05. This ratio drops in
year two to 1.00.
In this situation, a closer review of accounts receivable shows that they are increasing at an unusual rate,
which could indicate that fictitious accounts receivable have been added to inflate sales.
Of more concern, perhaps, is the increase in accounts payable that might require, at a minimum, a
closer review to determine why.
If the drop in the ratio indicates a problem customer or significant slowing in the time to collection, it
might reflect a general decline in company prospects.
That, in turn, would be a red flag that management could feel pressured to report fraudulent financials.
Procedures Types of Ratio Analysis
Debt to Equity Ratio
Total Liabilities
Total Equity
The debt-to-equity ratio is computed by dividing total liabilities by total equity.
It indicates the proportion of equity and debt a company uses to finance its assets. Because
the ratio provides a picture of the relative risk assumed by the creditors and owners, it is
heavily considered by lending institutions.
The higher the ratio, the more difficult it will be for the owners to raise capital by increasing
long-term debt, and the greater the risk assumed by creditors.
Debt-to-equity requirements are often included as borrowing covenants in corporate
lending agreements.
The example displays a year one ratio of 0.89. This is very favorable, as it shows that the
company is financed more by equity than by debt.
However, year two shows a ratio of 1.84, meaning that debt is greatly increasing relative to
equity.
In this case, the increase in the ratio corresponds with the rise in accounts payable.
Sudden changes in this ratio may signal an examiner to look for fraud.
Procedures Types of Ratio Analysis
Profit Margin Ratio
Net Income
Net Sales
The profit margin ratio is net income divided by sales.
This ratio is often referred to as the efficiency ratio, in that it reveals profits earned per dollar of sales.
This percentage of net income to sales examines not only the effects of gross margin changes, but also
changes in selling and administrative expenses.
If fraud is committed, net income may be artificially overstated, resulting in a profit margin ratio that is
abnormally high compared to other periods.
False expenses will cause an increase in expenses and a decrease in the profit margin ratio.
This ratio should be fairly consistent over time.
In this example, the profit margin analysis is already calculated in the vertical and horizontal analyses.
While revenues increased by 80 percent, the cost of goods sold increased by 140 percent; this, in turn,
dropped profit margins from 6 percent to -6 percent.
Further investigation could uncover fraudulent accounting that shifted costs from one period to another,
or might reveal another type of fraud in which inventory is being stolen so costs appear to jump.
Procedures Types of Ratio Analysis
Receivables Turnover Ratio
Net Sales on Account
Average Net Receivables
Receivable turnover is defined as net sales on account divided by average net
receivables.
It measures the number of times the receivables balance is turned over during the
accounting period.
In other words, it measures the time between sales on account and the collection of funds.
This ratio is one that uses both income statement and balance sheet accounts in its
analysis.
If fictitious sales have been recorded, this bogus income will never be collected.
As a result, the turnover of receivables will decrease.
If the fraud is caused from fictitious sales, this bogus income will never be collected.
In the example, the accounts receivable turnover jumps from 1.61 to 2.14.
The examiner can use this ratio as an indicator that revenues might be fake, thus requiring
further examination of source documents.
Procedures Types of Ratio Analysis
Collection Ratio
365
Receivable turnover
Accounts receivable aging is measured by the collection ratio, which divides 365 days by
the receivable turnover ratio to arrive at the average number of days to collect
receivables.
In general, the lower the collection ratio, the faster receivables are collected.
A fraud examiner may use this ratio as a first step in detecting fictitious receivables or
larceny and skimming schemes.
Normally, this ratio will stay fairly consistent from year to year, but changes in billing
policies or collection efforts may cause a fluctuation.
The example shows a favorable reduction in the collection ratio from 226.3 in year one to
170.33 in year two.
This means that the company is collecting its receivables more quickly in year two than in
year one.
Procedures Types of Ratio Analysis
Inventory Turnover Ratio
Cost of Goods Sold
Average Inventory
The relationship between a company’s cost of goods sold and its average
inventory is shown through the inventory turnover ratio.
This ratio measures the number of times the inventory is sold during the period.
This ratio is a good determinant of purchasing, production, and sales efficiency.
In general, a higher inventory turnover ratio is considered more favorable.
For example, if cost of goods sold has increased due to theft of inventory
(ending inventory has declined, but not through sales), then this ratio will be
abnormally high.
In the case example, inventory turnover increases in year two, signaling the
possibility that an embezzlement is buried in the inventory account.
An examiner should look at the changes in the components of the ratio to
determine a direction in which to discover possible fraud.
Procedures Types of Ratio Analysis
Average Number of Days Inventory Ratio
365
Inventory Turnover
The average-number-of-days-inventory-is-in-stock ratio is a restatement of the inventory
turnover ratio expressed in days.
This rate is important for several reasons.
An increase in the number of days that inventory stays in stock causes additional
expenses, including storage costs, risk of inventory obsolescence, and market price
reductions, as well as interest and other expenses incurred due to tying up funds in
inventory stock.
Inconsistency or significant variance in this ratio is a red flag for fraud investigators.
Examiners may use this ratio to examine inventory accounts for possible larceny schemes.
Purchasing and receiving inventory schemes can affect the ratio.
Understating the cost of goods sold will result in an increase in the ratio as well.
Significant changes in the inventory turnover ratio are good indicators of possible
fraudulent inventory activity.
Conclusion
Red flags are warnings that something could be or
is wrong.
Auditors, employees, and management need to
be aware of red flags in order to monitor the
situation and then take corrective action as
needed.
Employees who notice that red flags are ignored
may mistakenly believe that it is okay to game the
system or that they won’t get caught.
A little fraud soon becomes a large one if left to
grow.
Contact Me
Iris Ikeda
808.586.2815
Division of Financial Institutions
Department of Commerce and Consumer Affairs
(DCCA)
335 Merchant Street, Rm 221
Honolulu, Hawaii 96813